• What next for Scott Morrison?

    Open Forum     |      May 25, 2019

    Political science and election history offer some clues as to why the pundits failed on election night and Scott Morrison inched towards a famous victory, but what – if anything – will he do with power now?

  • Voter aspiration powered the Coalition victory

    Mark Triffitt     |      May 24, 2019

    Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s message of aspirational individualism resonated with voters, leaving the polls behind and leaving Labor contemplating a reshaped agenda.

  • Mending the opinion polls

    Adrian Barnett     |      May 24, 2019

    Election opinion polls are like penalty shoot-outs at a World Cup final: there’s huge pressure to get it right and we remember the big misses most of all. Better opinions polls are more expensive, because pollsters must make more effort to get a representative and honest sample of voters, but it’s a price worth paying in the future.

  • 3 lessons from behavioural economics which Labor forgot

    Tracey West     |      May 23, 2019

    Labor’s extensive policy platform was bold but its leaders overlooked some fundamental principles of behavioural economics in trying to sell it to the voters.

  • Fresh blood and new challenges for Labor and the Coalition

    Michelle Grattan     |      May 21, 2019

    Should Labor jump to a generation when it chooses its new leader – and should Scott Morrison steal some Shorten policies to broaden his agenda in government?

  • Hail, the President of Parliament

    Graeme Dobell     |      May 21, 2019

    Australia’s Prime Minister won re-election with a Presidential approach, but he will still have to negotiate a careful path in power given his razor thin margin of victory.

  • How Labor lost the people

    Geoffrey Robinson     |      May 20, 2019

    After confidently predicting a Labor victory for the last three years, the pundits are now explaining the reasons why Labor lost. Central to the defeat was the party’s inability to convince enough people it would make their lives better in the future, rather than threaten their prosperity today.

  • What comes next for the ‘miracle man’?

    Marija Taflaga     |      May 20, 2019

    Scott Morrison’s election victory shocked the pundits but his lack of a policy agenda for the new term is not the only question mark over the future of the Liberal Party.

  • Scott Morrison hails ‘miracle’ as Coalition snatches unexpected victory

    Michelle Grattan     |      May 19, 2019

    As with Brexit and Donald Trump, a thousand confident polls and prognostications by the commentariat were proved completely wrong by the voting public. When it came to election day, Australians baulked at Labor’s long list of tax and spend promises and kept faith with the Coalition.

  • The 2019 federal election: the polls, Parliament and parties

    Zareh Ghazarian     |      May 18, 2019

    After a lengthy campaign, which really started when Scott Morrison became Prime Minister in September last year, election day is finally here.

  • The last election where anyone cares?

    Mark Triffitt     |      May 18, 2019

    Faith in democracy is plummeting among Australians, and the connection voters had with a leader like Bob Hawke now seems out of reach. Is this the last election where enough people really care?

  • Whatever happened to the “populist surge”?

    Gregory Melleuish     |      May 17, 2019

    Australian populism is more a form of long-term grumble about the state of the world than a sharp reaction to the threat of cultural loss and has had little impact on the election.