• The storm before the calm

    Colin Chapman     |      September 3, 2020

    Many Americans think their country is in bad shape but George Friedman’s close examination of American history indicates that the country is in the midst of an expected period of transition rather than a state of decline.

  • Arvanitakis on American politics: How changing demographics are reshaping American politics

    James Arvanitakis     |      July 11, 2020

    After one of the most traumatic years in American political history, less heralded, but still highly significant shifts in the demographic make-up of the United States are set to have a crucial influence on the outcome of November’s election.

  • US primacy will survive COVID and Donald Trump

    Roman Darius     |      June 18, 2020

    Despite its current troubles, the US is still the most powerful nation in the world and retains the military strength to defend its interests globally. Until that changes, America’s ‘Suez moment’ will still be a long way away.

  • Will COVID-19 be the trump card in the 2020 US election?

    Ashok Sharma     |      April 13, 2020

    The COVID-19 pandemic has overshadowed the coming 2020 US presidential elections, but will Trump’s mishandling of the health crisis undermine his chances of a second term in office?

  • The death or rebirth of America?

    Michael Shoebridge     |      April 12, 2020

    The spiraling death toll in the USA, and the bumbling reaction of the Federal government, has prompted many commentators to predict the eclipse of America as a major power, but the COVID-19 crisis is more likely to revitalise that nation’s inherent dynamism.

  • A tale of two candidates – and two executives

    John Pilbrow     |      March 27, 2020

    Coronavirus has turned American politics on its head, as well as the rest of society. Donald Trump’s handling of the crisis has been widely criticised, while Joe Biden appears to have the Democratic nomination all but wrapped up after appearing out of the race three weeks ago.

  • The circus moves on

    Daniel Steedman     |      February 7, 2020

    The impeachment trial of President Trump has ended with his exoneration. Without question the process has damaged the American political system. It won’t break it, but it will test it.

  • The puzzles of a post-American world

    Graeme Dobell     |      February 20, 2019

    Donald Trump’s ‘America First’ policy is a declaration that the hegemon is declining back to the status of normal big power, worried more about itself than the nature of the international system. Far from making America great again, Donald Trump is the first President of the post-American world.