US primacy will survive COVID and Donald Trump

Despite its current troubles, the US is still the most powerful nation in the world and retains the military strength to defend its interests globally. Until that changes, America’s ‘Suez moment’ will still be a long way away.

COVID-19 spurs the resurgence of the state

Unprecedented stimulus packages and interventions are being deployed to mitigate the effects of the pandemic. COVID-19 has generated the requisite conditions for a fundamental transformation in the social and economic role of the state sector.

Rebuilding the wall around the world

Narratives of isolation and self-sufficiency have arisen in attempt to curb the spread of disease. Like the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the migration crisis of 2015/2016, the Coronavirus pandemic is likely to feature as a catalyst in the shift towards deglobalisation.