Survival

| September 21, 2025

Australia’s engagement with the Pacific must be built on strategic empathy rather than transactional language. Otherwise, it risks overlooking the region’s core priorities: preserving the Pacific Way and confronting the existential threat of climate change.

For Pacific island countries, sovereignty is not just about statehood or borders; it is expressed through what they call the Pacific Way: decision-making by consensus, respect for culture, and a deep commitment to collective responsibility. It means having the right to choose partners freely, to manage resources in ways that sustain both people and ecosystems, and to safeguard cultural and ecological wellbeing. In practice, the Pacific Way anchors sovereignty in resilience against globalisation, colonial legacies and the existential threat of climate change.

Papua New Guinea’s intended defence treaty with Australia illustrates this dynamic. Announced this week, the pact would commit both countries to aid each other if either suffered attack and it would grant Australian forces access to PNG facilities. Yet former PNG Defence Force commander Commodore Peter Ilau has cautioned that the agreement departs from his country’s traditional policy of non-alignment, one of being ‘friends to all and enemies to none.’ He warned that such a shift could be seen as a hasty realignment, risking economically essential foreign investment from countries such as China. Signing of the treaty has been delayed, because PNG’s cabinet reportedly failed to achieve a quorum for approving it. Australia had hoped to finalise the deal this week.

Such reluctance to finalise agreements sits within a longer history of Australian aid, where funding has often been tied to policy reforms. Although framed as supporting stability and good governance, these arrangements have fostered a perception that Australia’s engagement comes with conditions that constrain sovereignty. Against this backdrop, decisions such as Vanuatu’s delay of the Nakamal security and economic agreement with Australia or the Solomon Islands’ defence of a pact with China are not simply tactical bargaining. They reflect a recurring pattern in which Pacific leaders assert independence by resisting external prescriptions. For them, the Pacific Way is about safeguarding the agency to set national priorities, even when that requires pushing back against Australia’s preferred models of reform.

Australia continues to see the Pacific through the lens of strategic competition, casting the region as an arena or a venue for large-scale defence expansion. That language may signal resolve in Australia, but it risks eroding trust. Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong’s 2024 remark that Australia was in ‘a state of permanent contest in the Pacific’, though accurate, reinforced fears that outmanoeuvring adversaries mattered more than empowering partners. China’s approach is no less problematic: its untied aid and elite-level courting secure political access but rarely touch the daily concerns of island communities. For Pacific nations, both narratives miss the point. Survival, prosperity and independence (not contests for influence) remain the region’s defining priorities.

Regardless of Australia’s intention, when it presents the Pacific as a battleground, it conveys the message that partnership is conditional on alignment rather than grounded in mutual respect. This results in a widening gap between intent and reception. For Australia, contest language signals resolve, but for island leaders it raises doubts about whether Australia genuinely recognises or cares about their independence or the existential threat of climate change.

Australia consistently reinforces the principle of Pacific sovereignty through its strategic communications, but sustaining trust will require translating these commitments into practice. When agreements such as Vanuatu’s Nakamal deal are delayed or rejected, we need to  recognise the decisions as legitimate expressions of independence and agency, rather than unequivocally diagnosing them as products of malign influence. Such diagnoses—alongside language labelling the Pacific as a ‘strategic arena’ or ‘battleground’—disregard the autonomy of its countries, demean their key decision-makers and risk Australian approaches being viewed as purely transactional.

If Australia wants to be taken seriously as a partner, its focus should be on what it is doing—investing in people-to-people ties, climate resilience, and everyday economic opportunities that matter most to island communities—not what others in the region are doing. What gives these efforts distinct value is that they respond directly to Pacific priorities and are designed to deliver tangible, community-level benefits. Initiatives such as the Pacific Australia Labour Mobility scheme, which provides vital income for families, and the Pacific Climate Infrastructure Financing Partnership, which supports resilience against rising seas, demonstrate what credible partnership looks like.

The challenge now is to make such initiatives the center of Australia’s Pacific policy, not exceptions. Pacific island countries should never be cast as pawns in a wider contest; they should be recognised as partners whose strategic importance rests in shared concerns, geography and cultural roots. Australia’s advantage will not come from attempts to expose or exclude rivals but by standing as the natural choice through genuine respect, trust and shared prosperity.

The Pacific island countries care less about narratives of malign influence and more about the essentials: survival, domestic stability and economic opportunity. Australia’s challenge is to prove it understands this, not just in words but in actions. Australia’s strategic advantage lies not in outmanoeuvring rivals but in being the partner that consistently delivers on the region’s own priorities: climate, livelihoods, and helping to protect the Pacific Way.

This article was published by The Strategist.

 

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